While I'm on the subject of 'predictions', let's have a look at the weather. I recently had a good old rant about this leading up to Christmas, because I'm sick and tired of checking the Met Office, noting no real weather warning of importance, only to find myself waking up and having to crawl to work in the car at 5mph because of a vicious blizzard.
Today, the Mail tells us that the Met Office warns the nation of icy roads and heavy snow in certain regions, including Yorkshire. I checked the Met Office site just now to see what the Mail is on about...no warning at all. They paint the map 'green', indicating business as usual. Then I look outside and the entire landscape is purest white (very racist, I know) and the roads are slush and ice.
Why can't they just get it right? If not right, then vaguely on the money. Why does the Mail say the Met Office warns us, when it doesn't? And why aren't more people questioning the horrendous standards of weather predictions from so called experts? They only tell us...as and when it is happening, which by then is too late. Sometimes, the Met Office doesn't even do that!
I give up, I really do. I reckon the Met Office plays down the snow because they are massive stooges for all this global warming bollocks. It's part of the elite's special Orwellian Double Speak program. Fuckers.
Sunday, 3 January 2010
What is going on with these bizarre weather predictions?
Posted by John Demetriou at 15:18
Labels: bad weather predictions, betting predictions, daily mail bullshit, fuck the met office, met office
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7 comments:
These are the people whose unimpeachable data is the basis for all the warming alarmism. If they can't predict tomorrow's weather with any accuracy, how the hell can they say what will be happening in 50 years' time?
We have Copenhagen, and then the most seasonal (and normal) winter weather for ages. I think old Gaia is having a bit of a chuckle about all this. No wonder they stopped calling it 'global warming' and started calling it 'climate change'. After all, that covers pretty much everything, doesn't it?
In the seven day forecast at 1150 on Country Tracks today Tomas Schafernaker told us that the average temperature for January was 7C but this week most areas would be lucky to reach 2C or 3C. Remember that the BBC/Met Office told us all in November to expect a "mild winter" which I assume means they thought it was going to be warmer than average, i.e. over 7C. We all remeber their "barbeque summer" forecast as well.
So not only can't they get the short term forecast right, they're no good for the medium term either.
Yet they still think we ought to accept their guess for 20-50 years ahead??
Until the Met Office/BBC Weather are purged of all the MMGW zealots we may as well ignore them, switch off their funding from the MoD/licence fee and cut taxes.
The Met Office is designed to predict the fallout, not the snow ;)
I find the Daily Mail's reporting of weather rather untrustworthy and usually over-hyped (no surprise there, then!).
This morning they said we are on track for the coldest winter since that of 1979! I'm a weather forecaster by profession, for a private company in Scotland, and I must say that I think this is a little premature.
The cold weather shows little sign of any real warmth for at least another week and (possibly) through until the second half of this month. However, February could still be mild and December, though cold, was not exceptionally so.
In order for this winter to be the coldest for 30 years, we would require the cold weather to last throughout January, to be followed also by a very cold February, too. It would take some doing for this winter to be colder than that of 1984/85.
On the contentious Global Warming issue, I have to say I am undecided. It is true that the winters (and to a lesser extent summers) that the UK gets are considerably warmer than they were in the 1950s to the early 1980s. But whether it is part of an anthropogenic, planet-wide trend to an ever warmer world, I am not entirely sure.
However, I am not entirely dismissing the concept of Global Warming. I think the next 5-10years will be pivotal in revealing whether the threat is real or not.
Regards.
Thanks for your informed comments.
Great stuff.
I seem to recall that the politically correct phrase to use about a lot of snow is 'hideously white'.
'Hats off to Hitchens'.
BTAIM.
AGW seems a crock - at least the 'A'. Agree with Rich in that in 5-10 years we'll know. Maybe. If we don't already.
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